A novice user would be completely stuck at this point. The system doesn't provide good visibility (Norman, 1988). However, expert users aren't much better off. An expert user knows that he can press CTRL+ALT+Delete to get the shutdown dialog box. This dialog gives the user three options: end a task (ie. close a program), shut down the system, or cancel (go back to a crashed system).
The option to shut down the system seldom works at this point, and when it does work, it takes long enought that it gives the impression of not working. If the designers had followed through on Apple's (1992) principle of feedback, the user would know when to wait and when to give up.
The other seemingly-useful option, to end a task, is very similar to the system shutdown option. When it is sucessful in shutting down a task, it takes a very long time. If feedback is given, it is far from immediate.
(Note: there are no pictures available for this diary entry, because Windows98 disables a lot of functionality when it gets confused, including the ability to capture portions of the screen as graphics.)
Proper feedback during shutdown is a must. During normal shutdown, the user sees a screen that simply says "Preparing to shut down." This screen could easily be changed to display the active processes, and their progress in being shut down.
Cooper, A. (1995) About Face: The Essentials of User Interface Design. IDG Books Worldwide.
Norman, D. (1988) The Psychology of Everyday Things. New York: Basic Books [Chapter 2]